Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 394.627267 447.762831 506.616876 576.848205 658.645265 751.226628 864.399918
2025-12-21 302.078984 368.451362 448.438034 552.725917 686.266529 853.091963 1079.726403
2025-12-28 266.892071 341.947845 437.800855 570.797261 753.090602 997.937614 1358.112657
2026-01-04 244.155924 325.556235 434.562189 593.834035 825.060972 1155.609440 1677.049591
2026-01-11 220.307161 303.489023 419.310561 595.989447 865.251693 1271.313814 1952.196409
2026-01-18 196.760669 278.521979 396.150955 582.263557 877.974426 1345.144519 2171.898903
2026-01-25 177.802243 257.834268 376.385050 570.232076 890.141297 1417.649147 2399.426785
2026-02-01 168.323750 250.080999 374.808223 585.709271 947.620267 1571.582937 2796.331708
2026-02-08 156.532599 237.472187 364.140199 584.684520 976.390753 1679.076594 3126.254594
2026-02-15 145.211043 224.476837 351.415424 578.399677 994.483318 1768.898718 3437.454897
2026-02-22 137.224402 216.096403 345.314544 582.592236 1031.570182 1899.010288 3856.693560
2026-03-01 127.653706 204.251610 332.234755 572.728334 1040.611564 1974.902197 4172.698426
2026-03-08 119.682245 194.625742 322.382989 568.211013 1060.428212 2077.769407 4578.066833
2026-03-15 109.527530 180.484176 303.449041 544.720949 1039.476985 2091.955746 4776.161515
2026-03-22 106.432298 178.425204 305.887746 562.474172 1105.481924 2305.825957 5523.863295
2026-03-29 104.199627 177.686960 310.600469 585.120854 1184.888591 2563.717110 6456.315079
2026-04-05 99.461414 171.999441 305.522513 587.239509 1219.336525 2721.347028 7153.138759
2026-04-12 93.229576 163.090261 293.562523 573.746986 1216.523488 2786.974452 7597.944154
2026-04-19 87.716188 155.157314 282.886126 561.919339 1216.078394 2858.611404 8081.422422
2026-04-26 85.617344 153.581002 284.600824 577.134199 1282.246901 3116.301464 9238.968642
2026-05-03 81.945787 148.696609 279.271323 576.126852 1308.416146 3270.523850 10097.752023
2026-05-10 78.025949 143.065103 271.987000 569.948640 1320.720099 3388.187537 10865.442978
2026-05-17 75.368043 139.768017 269.282516 574.070087 1360.230983 3592.088059 12022.321942